Thomas Cook Group plc Annual Report & Accounts 2009

Financial review

Ludger Heuberg
Ludger Heuberg
Acting Group Chief
Financial Officer

Basis of financial information

The results included within this report for the current year reflect audited statutory information for Thomas Cook Group plc. For the comparative period, audited statutory comparative information for the 11 month period to 30 September 2008 has been presented in the Financial Statements section.

However, to allow a more meaningful year on year comparison of the development of the business, we have also included unaudited comparative financial information for the 12 months to 30 September 2008 in Appendix 1. As management deems this to be a more meaningful comparison, all narrative in this Financial Review is also referenced to this comparative data.

Group financial results1

Year ended
30 September
2009
£m
Pro forma
year ended
30 September
2008
£m
Year on
year change
%
Statutory
11 months to
30 September
2008
£m
Revenue* 9,268.8 8,754.2 +5.9 8,111.5
Profit from operations** 414.9 365.9 +13.4 363.4
Operating profit margin %*** 4.5 4.2 +7.1
Adjusted profit before tax2 308.2 309.3 -0.4 303.9
Statutory profit before tax 56.1 48.4
Adjusted basic EPS3 (p) 26.4 24.1 +9.5
Adjusted diluted EPS (p) 26.2 24.1 +8.7
Statutory basic EPS (p) 1.9 4.6
Dividend per share (p) 10.75 9.75 +10.3 9.75
Net debt (675.3) (292.5) (292.5)
  1. 1 Read Appendix 1 for unaudited pro forma comparatives for year ended 30 September 2008.
  2. 2 The adjusted profit before tax is stated before exceptional operating items (2009: £(215.9)m; 2008 pro forma: £(205.3)m; 2008 statutory: £(179.6)m); amortisation of business combination intangibles (2009: £(34.8)m; 2008 pro forma: £(53.5)m; 2008 statutory: £(49.1)m); loss on disposal of associates (2009: £(2.2)m; 2008 pro forma: £nil; 2008 statutory: £nil); and exceptional finance income/(costs) (2009: £0.8m; 2008 pro forma: £(26.8)m; 2008 statutory: £(26.8)m). The statutory income statement is available in the Group income statement.
  3. 3 Adjusted basic earnings per share is calculated as net profit after tax, but before exceptional items and amortisation of business combination intangibles, divided by the weighted average number of shares in issue during the period. See Appendix 2 for key.

Income statement highlights

Revenue and profit from operations

Group revenue for the year was £9,268.8m, an increase of 6% on the pro forma prior year. Excluding the impact of translation, Group revenue was down 1%, reflecting reduced capacity in all our major markets, as we actively managed the business through the global recession, offset by the year on year increase as a result of acquisitions in this year and last.

Profit from operations before exceptional items for the year was £414.9m, an increase on the pro forma prior year of £49m, or 13%. As noted above, capacity was reduced in all major markets as we sought to manage the Group through the global recession. Trading was also adversely impacted by the swine flu outbreak, increases in fuel prices year on year, and the weakening of sterling against the euro and dollar which served to push up accommodation costs, particularly in our UK business. The adverse impact of the above was more than offset, however, by strong cost control, a year on year foreign currency translation benefit, the realisation of additional merger synergies and contributions from acquisitions made this year and last. Read more details of the movements in revenue and profit from operations in both the table below and the Operational Review.

Exceptional operating items

Exceptional items are defined as costs or profits that have arisen in the period which management do not believe are a result of normal operating performance and which, if not separately disclosed, would distort the year on year comparison of trading performance.

Exceptional operating items amounted to £215.9m (2008 pro forma: £205.3m). £56.6m of these costs relate to the Thomas Cook and MyTravel merger integration process which is now largely complete. Cumulative merger synergies delivered to the end of September 2009 were £205m, with a further £10m of benefits expected to come through in the year to September 2010. Total merger integration costs to be incurred in delivering the annualised savings are expected to be £274m, of which £268m has been incurred to date (including £13m of capital costs).

A further £112.8m of exceptional operating costs have been incurred in the year in relation to the integration of other acquisitions made last year and this, and other restructuring projects that we have undertaken across the Thomas Cook Group. These restructuring projects largely reflect changes made to underlying business processes and systems in the UK, Germany, the Western Europe markets and Canada to improve efficiency and cost leadership across the Group. These measures have served to not only protect profitability in the financial year, but will also ensure that the Group is well-placed going forward as we expect them to deliver annualised benefits in excess of £50m.

Other exceptional operating items amounted to £46.5m and include exceptional costs in relation to fuel, impairment and book losses on the disposal of fixed assets (mainly aircraft related), aborted acquisition costs and losses resulting from other exceptional operating events that are not expected to recur.

Amortisation of business
combination intangibles

During the year we incurred costs of £34.8m in relation to the amortisation of business combination intangibles (2008 pro forma: £53.5m), of which £25.6m relates to the merger of Thomas Cook and MyTravel and represents the amortisation of brand names, customer relationships and computer software. The remaining £9.2m relates to other acquisitions made post-merger. Of this amount, £7.8m relates to the amortisation of brand names, customer relationships and computer software, and £1.4m to the amortisation of the order backlog that existed at the time of the respective acquisitions.

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Associates and joint ventures

Our share of the results of associates and joint ventures before exceptional items was a loss of £3.8m (2008 pro forma: profit of £0.2m). The increase in losses year on year largely reflects increased losses from our Barclaycard joint venture arrangement.

In August 2009, the Group disposed of its 19.99% share in Aqua Sol Hotels Limited, a quoted hotel group based in Cyprus, resulting in an exceptional loss on disposal of £2.2m.

Net investment income

Net investment income, which reflects dividends and interest received from investments, was £1.4m (2008 pro forma: £1.4m).

Net finance costs

Net finance costs (excluding exceptional finance costs) in the year were £104.3m (2008 pro forma: £58.2m). The increase year on year reflects the higher net debt throughout the year which, to a large extent, resulted from the full year effect of funding the share buyback programme (£295m) and acquisitions in 2008 and 2009 (£368m).

The net debt position was further exaggerated in the first quarter of the 2009 financial year as the Group took the prudent decision, in October 2008, to draw down all available funds under the bank facility as a protective response to the uncertainties in the banking market at that time. This action was taken to limit counterparty risk going into the Group’s low point but came at a net cost of approximately £8m in additional interest costs.

The Group also incurred the annualised effect of commitment fees and amortisation of set-up fees on the Group’s banking facility, which was put in place in May 2008. In addition, non-cash costs increased by £11.7m as a result of movements in the notional interest income and expense on the Group’s pension schemes. However, this was broadly offset by income on marking to market the forward points on our foreign currency hedging instruments.

Net exceptional finance income in the year was £0.8m (2008 pro forma: cost of £26.8m). The net cost in 2008 included £12.9m relating to the exceptional element of the phasing effect of marking to market the forward point on our foreign currency hedging, which arose in September 2008 as a result of the global banking crisis. In 2009, £11.4m of this unwound, but was offset by £10.6m of additional revaluation losses on trading securities. The Group has now disposed of all of its trading securities.

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Tax

The tax charge in the year was £37.8m (2008 pro forma: £13.1m). Excluding the effect of adjustments to tax provisions made in respect of exceptional items, this represents an effective tax rate of 26.9% on the pre-exceptional profit for the year.

The pre-exceptional effective cash tax rate was 20% and is expected to continue to be considerably lower than the effective income statement rate as a result of being able to utilise the losses available in the UK and Germany. Total losses available for carry forward in the Group at 30 September 2009 are £1.4bn. Deferred tax assets have been recognised in respect of £0.8bn of this amount.

Earnings per share and dividends

The basic earnings per share before exceptional items (“adjusted earnings per share”) for the year was 26.4p, an increase of 10% on the 2008 pro forma figure. The adjusted diluted earnings per share for the year was 26.2p (2008 pro forma: 24.1p).

The basic and diluted statutory earnings per share was 1.9p and 1.8p respectively (2008 statutory: basic and diluted of 4.6p).

The Board is recommending a final dividend of 7.0p per share, for payment after, and subject to shareholder approval at, the Annual General Meeting to be held on 25 March 2010. This, together with the interim dividend of 3.75p per share, brings the total dividend in respect of the financial year to 10.75p. Based on the adjusted diluted earnings per share figure noted above, this equates to a 41.0% payout ratio for the full year compared with a payout ratio of 40.5% in the prior year.

Cash and liquidity

Net debt (cash less borrowings, overdrafts and finance leases) at 30 September 2009 was £675.3m (2008: £292.5m). The balance at 30 September 2009 consisted of £550.2m of cash, £940.0m of borrowings and overdrafts and £285.5m of finance lease liabilities. The increase in net debt year on year is primarily due to the following net cash outflows in the period:

  • £124m on working capital (excluding exceptional items – see below). The tour operator cash flow profile is extremely cyclical. The winter months are traditionally a period of significant cash outflows, as cash paid to hoteliers often lags the end of the peak summer season, whereas cash is received from customers in advance of their holiday departure. In a year with significant capacity cuts, this resulted in a working capital outflow which was further exaggerated by the delay in holiday bookings (and hence lower revenue in advance) we have experienced as a result of the economic slowdown;
  • £214m cash outflow for exceptional items, of which £140m relates to exceptional items arising in 2009 and £74m to prior year exceptional items;
  • £69m net cash outflow on acquisitions and disposals (largely being the £72m payment to Lufthansa in March 2009 to complete the acquisition of the Condor airline);
  • £47m cash outflow to complete the share buyback programme;
  • £17m additional pension funding payments for the UK defined benefit scheme; and
  • £58m impact of foreign exchange translation on our non-sterling denominated borrowings.

These have been partly offset by the year on year improvement in the underlying operating profit performance.

Cash and cash equivalents at the balance sheet date were £550.2m (2008: £761.3m). This balance includes restricted cash of £60.2m (2008: £127.1m), which is held in escrow accounts predominantly in the US and Canada, in respect of local regulatory requirements, in addition to amounts held in respect of White Horse Insurance Ireland Limited, the Group’s insurance company.

The Board is satisfied with the Group’s funding and liquidity position, which remains robust. Fixed charges cover1 and the ratio of gross debt to EBITDAR2 , which are the ratios used as the basis for the covenants in our credit facilities, were 3.1x and 2.9x respectively at 30 September 2009.

Our financial position remains robust. Our bank facility of €1.8bn does not expire until May 2011 and we plan to refinance this by summer 2010.

  1. 1 Fixed charges cover is defined as EBITDAR divided by net interest plus operating lease rentals.
  2. 2 EBITDAR is defined as earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation, restructuring and integration related exceptional items and operating lease rentals.

Segmental performance review

Segmental performance presented in the segmental performance review table is based on financial performance before exceptional items and amortisation of business combination intangibles. It also compares the 12 months to September 2009 to the pro forma 12 months to September 2008 as the Directors believe that this provides a more meaningful year on year comparison of the development of the business. Statutory segmental information is provided in Note 3 to the Financial Statements.

Segmental performance review

External revenue* Year ended
30 September
2009
£m
Pro forma
year ended
30 September
2008
£m
Year on
year change
%
Statutory
11 months to
30 September
2008
£m
UK 3,098.00 3,097.30 Flat 2,830.30
Continental Europe 4,000.30 3,620.40 +10.5% 3,377.80
Northern Europe 1,059.30 971.6 +9.0% 907.3
North America 370.4 384.2 -3.6% 365.2
Airlines Germany 740.8 680.7 +8.8% 630.9
Corporate
Group 9,268.8 8,754.2 +5.9% 8,111.5%
         
Profit from operations**
UK 162.2 143.4 +13.1% 144.3
Continental Europe 127 106.3 +19.5% 103.1
Northern Europe 86.4 86.2 +0.2% 79.8
North America 17.9 6 +198.3% 14.7
Airlines Germany 47.4 45.4 +4.4% 40.1
Corporate1 -26 -21.4 -21.5% -18.6
Group 414.9 365.9 +13.4% 363.4
  1. 1The costs associated with running the corporate headquarters increased in the year to £26.0m. This increase reflects the ongoing re-sizing and re-shaping of the post-merger head office functions to ensure that we are appropriately placed to effectively support the operating segments in delivering the Group’s strategy and growth in the future. See Appendix 2 for key.

Treasury policies

The Group is subject to risks related to changes in interest rates, exchange rates, fuel prices and liquidity within the framework of its business operations. To manage these risks, the Board has established treasury policies which are reviewed regularly to ensure they remain relevant to the business.

The Board approves all the financial instruments used by the Group to manage these risks. Internal guidelines govern the hedging activities, responsibilities and controls. The use of derivative financial instruments for speculative purposes is not permitted.

The Group’s treasury function has primary responsibility for treasury activities and these activities are reported regularly to the Board. The Treasury function is subject to periodic independent reviews and audits, which are presented to the Audit Committee.

Management of liquidity risk and financing

The Group’s overall objective is to ensure that it is able to meet its financial commitments as they fall due. This involves preparing a prudent cash flow forecast using its annual budget and three-year plan and identifying an appropriate amount of headroom to provide against any unexpected flows. In addition, a 13 week cash flow forecast is used to manage short-term positions. At the year end, the Group had undrawn committed debt, guarantee and bonding facilities available to it of £463m.

The Group deposits surplus cash with approved banks and financial institutions with strong credit ratings. Each counterparty has a credit limit authorised by the Board and the credit risk is reduced by spreading the investments and derivative contracts across a number of counterparties. At the year end, the Group had £247m of cash deposits.

In May 2008, the Group entered into a €1.8bn (£1.6bn) committed bank debt facility with a number of banks, including €0.2bn (£0.2bn) for bonding requirements. During the year, the Group repaid €75m (£69m) of the term loan, in accordance with the terms of the facility. The facility provides funding to manage the seasonal liquidity requirement of the Group and for general corporate purposes.

Financial risk management

The Group’s treasury function has primary responsibility for managing financial risks to which the Group is exposed, including fuel price risk, currency risk, liquidity risk, interest rate risk and counterparty risk. Further details are provided in Note 24 to the Financial statements.

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